Phillies vs Braves NRFI/YRFI MLB Preview (8/20/24): Odds, Prediction, Pitching Matchup & Stats

Written By Editorial Team on August 20, 2024
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The Phillies face the Braves 7:20 p.m. ET today at Truist Park in Atlanta. Zack Wheeler, with a NRFI record of 19-4, takes the mound for the Phillies against Reynaldo López, who has a NRFI record of 18-1, for the Braves. NRFI odds are set at -125, and YRFI odds at -110. The forecast predicts clear skies with a high of 89 degrees. This information is crucial for understanding MLB odds for the game.

Phillies vs Braves NRFI/YRFI odds for 8/20/24

The MLB odds for the upcoming game between the Phillies and Braves showcase the market’s lean toward a NRFI outcome. DraftKings Sportsbook lists NRFI odds at -125, indicating a slightly favored scenario for no run in the first inning. Conversely, YRFI odds are set at -110, presenting a competitive but less favored position for a run to occur in the first inning. The implied probabilities calculated from these odds suggest a 55.56% chance for NRFI and a 52.38% chance for YRFI, highlighting a tight expectation for the game’s start.

  • DraftKings: NRFI -125
  • DraftKings: YRFI -110

Odds are subject to change for Phillies vs Braves

Phillies vs. Braves NRFI/YRFI prediction today

Neither starting pitcher for tonight’s game allows runs in the first inning. Zack Wheeler has a NRFI record of 19-4, while Reynaldo López is 18-1. Yes, the Phillies lineup is one of the best MLB, especially the top-of-order. Philly has a YRFI percentage of 37.9%. However, the Phillies are on the road against a pitcher who just doesn’t allow runs.

Phillies vs Braves NRFI/YRFI prediction: NRFI (-125)

Phillies vs. Braves Pitching Matchup for Tuesday

Zack Wheeler (R) (PHI)StatReynaldo López (R) (ATL)
19-4NRFI/YRFI record18-1
26.6%K%23%
7.1%BB%8.3%
0.98WHIP1.19
0.97HR/90.60

Zack Wheeler for the Phillies shows a solid season with a WHIP of 0.98, K% of 26.6, BB% of 7.1, and HR/9 at 0.97. His NRFI/YRFI record stands at 19-4, indicating strong early-game performance. Reynaldo López from the Braves counters with a WHIP of 1.19, K% of 23, BB% of 8.3, and HR/9 at 0.60, alongside an impressive NRFI/YRFI record of 18-1. Both pitchers demonstrate proficiency in controlling the game’s early innings, crucial for bettors focusing on NRFI odds and YRFI odds in MLB odds.

Wheeler shows better control against right-hand hitters with a WHIP of 0.66 and K% of 30.5, while López has a stronger performance at home with a WHIP of 1.18 and K% of 23. Their abilities to limit walks and home runs against specific hitter orientations and in particular venues provide key insights for MLB odds, especially for NRFI odds and YRFI odds.

Zack Wheeler Split Stats

AwayStatHome
25.4%K%27.7%
7.7%BB%6.5%
1.05WHIP0.92
1.09HR/90.87
vs LeftStatvs Right
25%K%30.5%
9.9%BB%3.9%
1.25WHIP0.66
1.37HR/90.52

Reynaldo López Split Stats

AwayStatHome
22.9%K%23%
6.5%BB%9.9%
1.22WHIP1.18
0.57HR/90.63
vs LeftStatvs Right
21.8%K%26.6%
12.8%BB%3.6%
1.46WHIP0.91
0.83HR/90.36

Phillies vs. Braves NRFI/YRFI Record

  • Phillies NRFI: 62.10%
  • Phillies YRFI: 37.90%
  • Phillies Opponent NRFI: 74.19%
  • Phillies Opponent YRFI: 25.81%
  • Braves NRFI: 70.16%
  • Braves YRFI: 29.84%
  • Braves Opponent NRFI: 75.00%
  • Braves Opponent YRFI: 25.00%

Projected starting pitchers and stats are pulled from Sportsdata.io

Phillies Lineup vs. Reynaldo López (R)

Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper bring significant power against right-hand pitchers, with ISOs of .245 and .261, respectively, indicating potential for early runs. The Phillies’ lineup has shown patience at the plate, with high walk rates from Schwarber (21.5%) and Harper (13.8%), enhancing their on-base potential. Their performance suggests a challenging matchup for López, impacting MLB odds favoring early scoring opportunities.

Braves Lineup vs. Zack Wheeler (R)

Marcell Ozuna stands out with a .305 ISO against right-hand pitchers, signaling strong YRFI odds in the Braves’ favor. Austin Riley and Jorge Soler add depth with ISOs of .201 and .175, respectively, suggesting the Braves can capitalize on Wheeler’s rare mistakes. Wheeler’s solid WHIP of 0.98 and low HR/9 rate of 0.97, however, indicate he can limit damage, making NRFI odds a point of interest for MLB bettors.

Both pitchers have demonstrated effectiveness, with López showing a low HR/9 of 0.60 and Wheeler excelling with a WHIP of 0.98. These stats suggest tight early innings, with NRFI odds likely being a focal point for MLB fans and bettors alike.

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